PICKRECONPRICE BEFORE PICKS.
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THE PICK RECORD

THE PICKS.
THE PRICES.
THE RESULTS.

Review selected results, supporting research, and original platform screenshots.

OUR AI FOOTBALL PICKS

32–23

Wins and losses. All in view.

58.2% · September 13–20, 2026

Reviewed picks include conditional and unpurchased ideas.

See the full record →

OUR TRACKED TRADING PROFIT

+$7,154.93

Started with $500 of our own money.

Plus a $50 referral bonus.

Profit equals 1,431.0% of our cash start.

Closed trades · September 12–20, 2026. Open positions and unresolved Buffalo/Detroit cash flow excluded.

See the breakdown →

SEPTEMBER 20 / CHIEFS–COLTS

Player props: 3 wins. 1 loss.

WON · Rashee Rice 50+ receiving yards

83 receiving yards. Original maximum: 48¢.

WON · Jonathan Taylor 80+ rushing yards

92 rushing yards. Original maximum: 50¢.

WON · Tyler Warren anytime touchdown

Scored. Original maximum: 27¢.

LOST · Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown

Did not score. Original maximum: 62¢.

The Chiefs won 33–30 in overtime. Our separate KC −5.5 spread pick lost, making the full five-selection game card 3–2. A four-leg combination of the props lost; the individual prop results remain 3–1.

Rice and Warren were conditional extras. Both winning directions are recorded with their original price limits unchanged; the last observed quotes were above those limits.

Rice game log · Taylor game log · Official game result and scoring

THE FULL REVIEWED RECORD

32 wins. 23 losses.

ChatGPT: 29–20. Identified Claude picks: 3–3. September 13–20, 2026. Updated September 21, 2026.

See all 55 graded football selections
DATESELECTIONSOURCERESULTORIGINAL CONDITION
2026-09-13Isaiah Likely 2+ touchdownsChatGPTWon2 cents per contract maximum, before fees
2026-09-13New York Giants moneylineClaudeWonApprox40.4 cents entry; pass45 cents or above
2026-09-14Denver Broncos moneylineChatGPTLost46¢ or less; $75 including fees
2026-09-14Rashee Rice anytime touchdownChatGPTWon33¢ or less
2026-09-14Jaylen Waddle anytime touchdownChatGPTLost30¢ or less
2026-09-14J.K. Dobbins anytime touchdownClaudeLostFable31-cent target; assistant approved limit absent
2026-09-14Courtland Sutton anytime touchdownClaudeLostFable26-cent target; assistant approved limit absent
2026-09-14RJ Harvey anytime touchdownClaudeLostFable21-cent target; Fable says drop at25 cents; assistant approved limit absent
2026-09-14Denver–Kansas City under 43.5ClaudeWonFable53 cents; no assistant approved ceiling
2026-09-17Josh Allen 250+ passing yards YESChatGPTLostInitial53 cents before fees /55 cents all-in; tightened to53 cents all-in in later reply
2026-09-17Josh Allen first touchdown scorerClaudeWonOriginal pregame limit unavailable
2026-09-19New Mexico–Oklahoma under 46.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better
2026-09-19LSU -3 at Ole MissChatGPTLost-110 or better
2026-09-19Florida–Auburn under 53.5ChatGPTLost-110 or better
2026-09-19Mississippi State moneylineChatGPTWon+150 or better
2026-09-19FIU moneylineChatGPTLost+200 or better
2026-09-19Rice +9.5 vs Western MichiganChatGPTWon-110 or better
2026-09-19Lincoln Kienholz 40+ rushing yardsChatGPTWon+115 or better
2026-09-19Trinidad Chambliss over 277.5 passing yardsChatGPTWon-114 or better
2026-09-19Deuce Alexander anytime touchdownChatGPTWon+125 or better
2026-09-19Joseph Williams anytime touchdownChatGPTWon+250 or better
2026-09-19Sam Leavitt first GAME touchdownChatGPTLost+700 or better
2026-09-19SMU–Louisville over 58.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better
2026-09-19Rice moneylineChatGPTLost+315 or better (explicit in08:34PDT chat; PDF retained reference)
2026-09-19Ashton Daniels over 147.5 passing yardsChatGPTWon-115 or better
2026-09-19Joseph Williams first GAME touchdownChatGPTLost+1550 or better
2026-09-19Deuce Alexander first GAME touchdownChatGPTLost+950 or better
2026-09-19SMU moneylineChatGPTLost47.5¢ observed; no maximum established
2026-09-19Auburn moneylineChatGPTLost45¢ observed; no maximum established
2026-09-19Ole Miss moneylineChatGPTWonPrice unavailable in recovered message
2026-09-20Carolina -2.5ChatGPTWon-115 or better
2026-09-20Cincinnati moneylineChatGPTWon43¢ before fees; Burrow playing without material limitation
2026-09-20Cleveland–Tampa Bay under41.5ChatGPTLost-110 or better; source snapshot had41
2026-09-20NY Jets +3.5ChatGPTWon-115 or better
2026-09-20Minnesota–Chicago under47.5ChatGPTWon50¢ before fees; sportsbookU48 at-110 an alternative
2026-09-20New Orleans +8.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better; Olave active
2026-09-20Philadelphia -6.5ChatGPTLost-110 or better; quoted spread-7
2026-09-20Pittsburgh–New England under41.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better
2026-09-20Jacksonville +3ChatGPTLost-120 or better; quoted line+2.5
2026-09-20Las Vegas–LA Chargers under43.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better; strongest ifBowersout andMcConkeyout/limited
2026-09-20Arizona +4.5ChatGPTLost-115 or better
2026-09-20San Francisco -13.5ChatGPTWon-105 or better
2026-09-20Washington–Dallas over50.5ChatGPTWon-110 or better
2026-09-20Matthew Golden 50+ receivingChatGPTWonKalshi51¢ beforefees; equivalentO49.5
2026-09-20Jalen Coker over48.5 receivingChatGPTWon-112 or better; Kalshi50+ harderthreshold
2026-09-20Quentin Johnston 50+ receivingChatGPTLostKalshi52¢ orless; McConkeyout/materiallyrestricted; Johnstonactive
2026-09-20Derrick Henry over92.5 rushingChatGPTLost-114 orbetter; StanleyandSimpsonactivewithoutrestriction
2026-09-20Emeka Egbuka anytimeTDChatGPTWonDraftKings+165orbetter; Kalshiceiling36¢(observed37¢wasworse)
2026-09-20DeVonta Smith anytimeTDChatGPTWonKalshi32¢beforefees; DraftKings+195orbetter
2026-09-20Cincinnati +2.5ChatGPTWon−110 or better; Burrow availability check
2026-09-20Tyler Warren anytime touchdownChatGPTWon27¢ or less; final recommended stake $0 for now at 28¢
2026-09-20Rashee Rice 50+ receiving yardsChatGPTWon48¢ or less; final recommended stake $0 for now at 49¢
2026-09-20Kansas City −5.5ChatGPTLost51¢ or less; original suggested risk $20
2026-09-20Kenneth Walker anytime touchdownChatGPTLost62¢ or less; original suggested risk $15
2026-09-20Jonathan Taylor 80+ rushing yardsChatGPTWon50¢ or less; original suggested risk $15

What the numbers cover.

Our pick record

Each distinct priced football selection counts once. This includes conditional alternatives and unpurchased ideas, with original entry limits preserved. Wins and losses measure the stated outcome, not whether an order filled at our price. Repeated mentions do not add wins. Two withdrawn losing calls are separate; including them gives 32–25. Explicit passes and ungraded ideas are outside this record.

This reviewed research history is separate from the membership desk’s published record and is not a scanner backtest. Identified Claude picks use supplied research and the account holder’s confirmation.

Our tracked trading profit: +$7,154.93

Matched closed trades across Polymarket US and Kalshi: $5,722.60 spent, $12,877.53 returned, and +$7,154.93 profit. These include AI-related and other purchases. Open positions, rewards, funding transfers, and the unresolved Buffalo/Detroit cash-flow sequence are excluded.

We started with $500 of our own money plus a $50 referral bonus. Profit equals 1,431.0% of the cash contribution, or 1,300.9% of the full $550. Those comparisons use the account holder’s confirmed starting funds; they are not a current balance or fully reconciled bankroll-growth claim. Return on cumulative matched stakes is 125.0%; the same money can be wagered more than once.

Our tracked account has 15 winning tickets, 28 losing tickets and 6 tickets sold. Account tickets and individual research selections are different counts. One Likely trade contributed $5,894.46 of the profit subtotal. Period: September 12–20, 2026. Past results do not predict future performance.

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · September 17, 2026Submitted platform screenshots

SETTLED PAYOUT

Josh Allen. First touchdown.

Yes — Josh Allen scores the first touchdown.

$94.24 cost · $785.32 payout

+$691.08 profit · 733.3% return shown on the Polymarket receipt.

Receipt added after settlement. Figures are transcribed from the submitted screenshot.

Polymarket Josh Allen first touchdown Yes receipt: September 17, $94.24 cost, $691.08 profit, 733.3% return and $785.32 payout.

CLOSED POSITION · PROFITABLE SALE

Jahmyr Gibbs. 30+ receiving yards.

Yes — Jahmyr Gibbs records at least 30 receiving yards.

$250 cost · 53¢ displayed odds

Account History confirms $250 spent and $451.89 returned from the sale: +$201.89 cash profit. The original screenshot below shows the earlier potential payout, not the final sale proceeds.

Counted as a sold ticket in account results; the 30+ receiving-yard selection is graded separately in the reviewed pick record.

Polymarket Jahmyr Gibbs 30+ receiving yards Yes position: September 17, 2026, $250 cost, 53 cents displayed odds, and $456.77 to win. Settlement is not shown.
Selected settled wins · September 13–20, 20267 settled examples
SELECTIONPRICE DETAILSSTATUSSETTLEMENT PAYOUT
Isaiah Likely · 2+ touchdowns · PolymarketDallas vs. New York G · Sep 13, 20262¢RESEARCH ENTRY · Before feesWON$6,021.98Profit: $5,901.54
New York Giants · Giants to win · PolymarketDallas vs. New York G · Sep 13, 2026Below 45¢ENTRY LIMIT · Supplied Fable thesisWON$1,217.94Profit: $742.94
Josh Allen · First touchdown scorer · YES · PolymarketDetroit vs. Buffalo · Sep 17, 2026$94.24POSITION COST · Entry quote not shown on receiptWON$785.32Profit: $691.08
Rashee Rice · 1+ touchdowns · YES · PolymarketDenver vs. Kansas City · Sep 14, 202636¢PURCHASE ENTRY · Research limit: 33¢WON$401.25Profit: $256.80
Tyler Warren · 1+ touchdowns · YES · PolymarketIndianapolis vs. Kansas City · Sep 20, 202627¢RESEARCH LIMIT · Actual entry about28¢ exceeded the limitWON$255.10Cash profit: $180.10
DeVonta Smith · 1+ touchdowns · YES · PolymarketPhiladelphia vs. Tennessee · Sep 20, 2026$50ACTUAL SPENDING · Cash figures from account HistoryWON$149.18Cash profit: $99.18
Under 43.5 points · Over 43.5 · NO · KalshiDenver vs. Kansas City · Sep 14, 202654.74%COST / PAYOUT · Effective break-evenWON$208.30Profit: $94.27

SETTLED PAYOUT / SEPTEMBER 20

DeVonta Smith. Touchdown.

$50 spent. $149.18 paid out. +$99.18 cash profit.

The original Polymarket card uses $47.74 position cost and shows $101.44 profit. Cash figures above use account History spending.

Original Polymarket DeVonta Smith touchdown receipt: $47.74 position cost, $101.44 displayed profit, $149.18 payout.

Under 43.5. Cashed.

$114.03 cost. $208.30 paid out. $94.27 profit, an 82.67% return on cost.

Denver vs. Kansas City · September 14, 2026
NO on Over 43.5 total points.

Read the under case
Kalshi receipt for NO on Over 43.5 total points: $114.03 cost, $208.30 payout, $94.27 profit and 82.67% return. Closed September 14, 2026.

Rice found the end zone.

$144.45 purchased. $401.25 paid out. $256.80 profit, a 177.8% return on cost.

Read the Rice case
Polymarket receipt for Rashee Rice 1+ touchdowns showing $144.45 cost, $401.25 payout and $256.80 profit.

Isaiah Likely. Two touchdowns.

$120.44 cost. $6,021.98 payout. $5,901.54 profit shown on the Polymarket receipt.

Read the Likely case
Polymarket Isaiah Likely receipt showing $120.44 cost, $6,021.98 payout and $5,901.54 profit.

New York Giants. Cashed.

$475.00 cost. $1,217.94 payout. $742.94 profit shown on the Polymarket receipt.

Read the Giants case
Polymarket New York Giants receipt showing $475 cost, $1,217.94 payout and $742.94 profit.

Likely and Giants case studies were published after settlement on September 14. Cost and profit figures follow the displayed platform receipts.

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